Annual Lecture Series (in-person)
Lunchtime Talks (in-person)
- This event has passed.
LTT: A. Mohseni
October 5, 2021 @ 12:10 pm - 1:30 pm EDT
Aydin Mohseni, UC Irvine, Center Post-Doc Fellow
HARKing: from Misdiagnosis to Misprescription
ABSTRACT: The practice of HARKing—hypothesizing after results are known—is commonly maligned as undermining the reliability of scientific findings. There are several accounts in the literature as to why HARKing undermines the reliability of findings. We argue that none of these is right and that the correct account is a Bayesian one. HARKing can indeed decrease the reliability of scientific findings, but it can also increase it. Which effect HARKing produces depends on the difference of the prior odds of hypotheses characteristically selected ex ante and ex post to observing data. Further, we show how misdiagnosis of HARKing can lead to misprescription in the context of the replication crisis.
Please Note: Non-Pitt individuals who want to attend our in-person talks must send an email in advance to Katie Labuda (email@example.com) requesting Guest Building Access, or you will not be able to enter the Cathedral of Learning.
If you prefer to watch online, please register here: https://pitt.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_wtAyoOV_RYyKh8I8AczLnA
- October 5, 2021
12:10 pm - 1:30 pm EDT
- Event Categories:
- Lunchtime Talks, Lunchtime Talks 2021-22
- Event Tags:
- 1117 Cathedral of Learning
4200 Fifth Ave
Pittsburgh, PA 15260 United States